Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001170 0.001229 0.001290 0.001357 0.001428 0.001502 0.001585
2025-07-13 0.001051 0.001135 0.001223 0.001323 0.001435 0.001556 0.001696
2025-07-20 0.000988 0.001089 0.001198 0.001327 0.001475 0.001640 0.001839
2025-07-27 0.000941 0.001055 0.001182 0.001335 0.001515 0.001722 0.001980
2025-08-03 0.000908 0.001033 0.001176 0.001351 0.001562 0.001810 0.002129
2025-08-10 0.000871 0.001003 0.001157 0.001349 0.001585 0.001870 0.002244
2025-08-17 0.000823 0.000959 0.001117 0.001319 0.001572 0.001882 0.002298
2025-08-24 0.000787 0.000926 0.001090 0.001301 0.001571 0.001908 0.002369
2025-08-31 0.000764 0.000906 0.001078 0.001302 0.001592 0.001961 0.002477
2025-09-07 0.000735 0.000879 0.001055 0.001287 0.001592 0.001986 0.002547
2025-09-14 0.000711 0.000857 0.001036 0.001276 0.001596 0.002015 0.002624
2025-09-21 0.000688 0.000835 0.001017 0.001264 0.001597 0.002041 0.002695
2025-09-28 0.000663 0.000811 0.000996 0.001250 0.001598 0.002068 0.002775
2025-10-05 0.000633 0.000779 0.000964 0.001221 0.001577 0.002064 0.002811
2025-10-12 0.000618 0.000767 0.000957 0.001225 0.001600 0.002125 0.002945
2025-10-19 0.000606 0.000758 0.000954 0.001232 0.001629 0.002194 0.003095
2025-10-26 0.000597 0.000752 0.000955 0.001246 0.001668 0.002277 0.003272
2025-11-02 0.000583 0.000739 0.000945 0.001244 0.001683 0.002327 0.003398
2025-11-09 0.000560 0.000714 0.000919 0.001218 0.001661 0.002319 0.003429
2025-11-16 0.000543 0.000696 0.000900 0.001202 0.001653 0.002332 0.003496
2025-11-23 0.000532 0.000686 0.000893 0.001202 0.001670 0.002384 0.003630
2025-11-30 0.000518 0.000670 0.000877 0.001189 0.001665 0.002401 0.003705
2025-12-07 0.000505 0.000657 0.000864 0.001179 0.001665 0.002425 0.003793